The recent media reports, compiling the data revealed by Morning Consult, state that, in Nevada, the net approval rate of President Trump is negative now, which is a reversal of the previous period of his tenure.
The trend is reinforced by a detailed poll conducted by Emerson College polling: the poll revealed that Trump is underwater (his job approval rating among Nevada voters is lower than that of his disapproval), having more people disapprove than approve.
The approval of Trump in Nevada according to one publicly disclosed number is around 47% but that corresponds with a greater disapproval implying that there is a net negative.
Why the Decline? Key Factors
The following developments are some of the ones that can be causing the declining popularity of Trump approval rating Nevada -and indeed, nationwide:
Voters are under economic pressure, particularly, the increased housing and rent prices in regions like Las Vegas. Observers are looking at it as possibly cooling the backing of Trump among working-class and middle-income residents.
One of the national-level analyses suggests that there is growing dissatisfaction with the manner in which the government is being operated such as its treatment of shutdowns and controversial policies, which can appeal to swing states such as Nevada.
Wider national polls also show declining support for the presidency of Trump, probably because of a general discontent on matters like economy, government, and social services.
What It Means Politically
Nevada Is Not Solid– Even by 2024 Win
Though Trump won Nevada in 2024, the drop in approval indicates that Trump is losing control of the state. This may have an effect on future elections in Nevada (particularly of down-ballot races) given its history as a swing state.
GOP Faces Risks Ahead
As his approval among the people of Nevada is dropping, Republicans might struggle to use the success of Trump in 2024 to run other races (gubernatorial, Senate, congressional). This may open chances to democrats or third party contenders.
Messaging & Issues Matter
There seems to exist an economic strain, specifically housing, cost of living, which seems especially relevant in Nevada. To reclaim or strengthen the backing of any candidate (or Trump himself), it will be significant to tackle these issues in a way that would be convincing.
Conclusion
With the continued trends, there is a possibility of additional changes in the politics of Nevada. In the case of Trump: to stabilize or turn things around, real policy achievements or evident positive changes in matters of interest to voters there (economy, housing, cost of living) will be needed. To critics: this can serve as a point of attack - particularly at future midterms or local/state elections.
With that said, polling is never a guarantee, it is always a snapshot. As the Nevada electorate is volatile and changes in turnout, a lot will be decided by next month, both in Washington and in the state policies and on the ground.
I can also draw a complete table of Trump approval ratings in Nevada between 2024 and today, how it has fluctuated over time, like you like.
